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  Politics and Elections
   Election Projection Polls

Week of May 12, 2008

Poll Question:
How many electoral votes will John McCain win in November?
Selection 
Votes
less than 200 9%353
200-249 27%1,068
250-268 19%737
exactly 269 - a tie 2%79
270-299 32%1,233
300-349 9%354
more than 350 2%85
3,909 votes total

Week of May 5, 2008

Poll Question:
How many GOP House seats will there be in 2009? (Current count: 200)
Selection 
Votes
218 or more (a majority) 4%34
210-217 3%31
200-209 12%105
190-199 39%353
180-189 28%255
less than 180 13%119
897 votes total

Week of April 28, 2008

Poll Question:
At this point in the primary process, who do you think would be the best-performing GOP nominee against Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
Selection 
Votes
John McCain 52%434
Mitt Romney 13%111
Mike Huckabee 7%60
Rudy Giuliani 9%77
Ron Paul 6%53
Fred Thompson 5%41
Someone else 7%58
834 votes total

Week of April 21, 2008

Poll Question:
There are currently 49 GOP senators.  How many GOP senators will there be after the elections in November?
Selection 
Votes
50 or more 7%66
49 2%22
47 - 48 25%226
45 - 46 37%332
41 - 44 23%204
40 or less 5%46
896 votes total

Week of April 14, 2008

Poll Question:
What will turnout be in this year's general elections on November 4th?
Selection 
Votes
Turnout will be less than in 2000 3%19
Turnout will be more than in 2000 but less than in 2004 14%81
Turnout will be more than in 2004 83%487
587 votes total

Week of March 31, 2008

Poll Question:
How would John McCain fare in the general election against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama?
Selection 
Votes
He would beat either of them 41%425
He would beat Clinton but lose to Obama 24%252
He would beat Obama but lose to Clinton 8%85
He would lose to either of them 26%274
1,036 votes total

Week of March 24, 2008

Poll Question:
Have Rev. Wright's comments effected Obama's chances to win the White House?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, it will be hard for him to overcome the negative impact. 32%205
Yes, but he can overcome the negative impact. 44%283
There will be little or no impact to the outcome from Rev. Wright's comments. 22%142
Rev. Wright's comments will improve Obama's chances. 3%18
648 votes total

Week of March 17, 2008

Poll Question:
How many number one seeds in this year's NCAA basketball tournament will make the Final Four?
Selection 
Votes
Four 4%11
Three 23%72
Two 54%169
One 15%46
None 5%15
313 votes total

Week of March 10, 2008

Poll Question:
In your view, what is John McCain's political ideology?
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 2%12
Very liberal 1%10
Somewhat liberal 3%23
Moderate with liberal tilt 7%51
Moderate 7%52
Moderate with conservative tilt 24%172
Somewhat conservative 35%245
Very conservative 16%110
Extremely conservative 5%33
708 votes total

Week of March 3, 2008

Poll Question:
In your view, what is Hillary Clinton's political ideology?
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 15%115
Very liberal 24%188
Somewhat liberal 22%177
Moderate with liberal tilt 24%188
Moderate 7%53
Moderate with conservative tilt 4%34
Somewhat conservative 3%20
Very conservative 1%6
Extremely conservative 1%11
792 votes total

Week of February 25, 2008

Poll Question:
Who will Ralph Nader's candidacy hurt most in the presidential race?
Selection 
Votes
The Democratic nominee 42%357
The Republican nominee 3%22
Neither 55%470
849 votes total

Week of February 18, 2008

Poll Question:
In your view, what is Barack Obama's political ideology?
Selection 
Votes
Extremely liberal 30%330
Very liberal 26%289
Somewhat liberal 22%251
Moderate with liberal tilt 14%160
Moderate 4%42
Moderate with conservative tilt 1%15
Somewhat conservative 1%10
Very conservative 0%2
Extremely conservative 2%17
1,116 votes total

Week of February 11, 2008

Poll Question:
What will President Bush's approval rating be on Election Day?
Selection 
Votes
below 30% 32%291
30-35% 37%335
35-40% 17%157
40-45% 10%87
45-50% 2%16
over 50% 3%23
909 votes total

Week of February 4, 2008

Poll Question:
Do you wish the New England Patriots had won the Super Bowl and completed their perfect season?
Selection 
Votes
Yes 26%277
No 59%636
I don't care 15%157
1,070 votes total

Week of January 28, 2008

Poll Question:
Culturally speaking, is America ready to elect a woman or an African-American as president?
Selection 
Votes
Yes, America is ready to elect either. 70%828
America is not ready to elect a woman but is ready to elect an African-American. 8%90
America is not ready to elect an African-American but is ready to elect a woman. 8%99
No, America is not ready to elect either. 14%161
1,178 votes total

Week of January 21, 2008

Poll Question:
Will the Democratic and Republican parties pick their nominee before the conventions?
Selection 
Votes
Both parties will settle on a nominee before the conventions 45%329
Neither party will choose a nominee before the conventions 9%70
The Republicans will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Democrats will not 8%57
The Democrats will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Republicans will not 38%281
737 votes total

Week of January 14, 2008

Poll Question:
Who will win the Republican presidential nomination?
Selection 
Votes
Mitt Romney 16%177
Rudy Giuliani 7%78
Mike Huckabee 12%140
John McCain 32%356
Fred Thompson 33%370
1,121 votes total

Week of January 7, 2008

Poll Question:
Who will win the Democratic presidential nomination?
Selection 
Votes
Hillary Clinton 34%355
Barack Obama 60%621
John Edwards 6%58
1,034 votes total

Click here for more EP Polls


Special Thanks To:

Charlie Cook
Cook Political


Congressional Quarterly
CQ Politics


D.C. Finegold Sachs
DC's Political Report


Dave Leip
U.S. Election Atlas


David Wissing
The Hedgehog Report


Larry Sabato
Crystal Ball


Richard & Tony
The Green Papers


Rose Institute
Redistricting in America


Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
RealClearPolitics

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