Previous Polls on Election Projection
Week of May 12, 2008
Poll Question: How many electoral votes will John McCain win in November?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| less than 200 | 9% | 353 |
| 200-249 | 27% | 1,068 |
| 250-268 | 19% | 737 |
| exactly 269 - a tie | 2% | 79 |
| 270-299 | 32% | 1,233 |
| 300-349 | 9% | 354 |
| more than 350 | 2% | 85 |
 |  |  |
| 3,909 votes total |
|
Week of May 5, 2008
Poll Question: How many GOP House seats will there be in 2009? (Current count: 200)
| | Selection | | Votes |
| 218 or more (a majority) | 4% | 34 |
| 210-217 | 3% | 31 |
| 200-209 | 12% | 105 |
| 190-199 | 39% | 353 |
| 180-189 | 28% | 255 |
| less than 180 | 13% | 119 |
 |  |  |
| 897 votes total |
|
Week of April 28, 2008
Poll Question: At this point in the primary process, who do you think would be the best-performing GOP nominee against Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| John McCain | 52% | 434 |
| Mitt Romney | 13% | 111 |
| Mike Huckabee | 7% | 60 |
| Rudy Giuliani | 9% | 77 |
| Ron Paul | 6% | 53 |
| Fred Thompson | 5% | 41 |
| Someone else | 7% | 58 |
 |  |  |
| 834 votes total |
|
Week of April 21, 2008
Poll Question: There are currently 49 GOP senators. How many GOP senators will there be after the elections in November?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| 50 or more | 7% | 66 |
| 49 | 2% | 22 |
| 47 - 48 | 25% | 226 |
| 45 - 46 | 37% | 332 |
| 41 - 44 | 23% | 204 |
| 40 or less | 5% | 46 |
 |  |  |
| 896 votes total |
|
Week of April 14, 2008
Poll Question: What will turnout be in this year's general elections on November 4th?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Turnout will be less than in 2000 | 3% | 19 |
| Turnout will be more than in 2000 but less than in 2004 | 14% | 81 |
| Turnout will be more than in 2004 | 83% | 487 |
 |  |  |
| 587 votes total |
|
Week of March 31, 2008
Poll Question: How would John McCain fare in the general election against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| He would beat either of them | 41% | 425 |
| He would beat Clinton but lose to Obama | 24% | 252 |
| He would beat Obama but lose to Clinton | 8% | 85 |
| He would lose to either of them | 26% | 274 |
 |  |  |
| 1,036 votes total |
|
Week of March 24, 2008
Poll Question: Have Rev. Wright's comments effected Obama's chances to win the White House?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, it will be hard for him to overcome the negative impact. | 32% | 205 |
| Yes, but he can overcome the negative impact. | 44% | 283 |
| There will be little or no impact to the outcome from Rev. Wright's comments. | 22% | 142 |
| Rev. Wright's comments will improve Obama's chances. | 3% | 18 |
 |  |  |
| 648 votes total |
|
Week of March 17, 2008
Poll Question: How many number one seeds in this year's NCAA basketball tournament will make the Final Four?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Four | 4% | 11 |
| Three | 23% | 72 |
| Two | 54% | 169 |
| One | 15% | 46 |
| None | 5% | 15 |
 |  |  |
| 313 votes total |
|
Week of March 10, 2008
Poll Question: In your view, what is John McCain's political ideology?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Extremely liberal | 2% | 12 |
| Very liberal | 1% | 10 |
| Somewhat liberal | 3% | 23 |
| Moderate with liberal tilt | 7% | 51 |
| Moderate | 7% | 52 |
| Moderate with conservative tilt | 24% | 172 |
| Somewhat conservative | 35% | 245 |
| Very conservative | 16% | 110 |
| Extremely conservative | 5% | 33 |
 |  |  |
| 708 votes total |
|
Week of March 3, 2008
Poll Question: In your view, what is Hillary Clinton's political ideology?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Extremely liberal | 15% | 115 |
| Very liberal | 24% | 188 |
| Somewhat liberal | 22% | 177 |
| Moderate with liberal tilt | 24% | 188 |
| Moderate | 7% | 53 |
| Moderate with conservative tilt | 4% | 34 |
| Somewhat conservative | 3% | 20 |
| Very conservative | 1% | 6 |
| Extremely conservative | 1% | 11 |
 |  |  |
| 792 votes total |
|
Week of February 25, 2008
Poll Question: Who will Ralph Nader's candidacy hurt most in the presidential race?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| The Democratic nominee | 42% | 357 |
| The Republican nominee | 3% | 22 |
| Neither | 55% | 470 |
 |  |  |
| 849 votes total |
|
Week of February 18, 2008
Poll Question: In your view, what is Barack Obama's political ideology??
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Extremely liberal | 30% | 330 |
| Very liberal | 26% | 289 |
| Somewhat liberal | 22% | 251 |
| Moderate with liberal tilt | 14% | 160 |
| Moderate | 4% | 42 |
| Moderate with conservative tilt | 1% | 15 |
| Somewhat conservative | 1% | 10 |
| Very conservative | 0% | 2 |
| Extremely conservative | 2% | 17 |
 |  |  |
| 1,116 votes total |
|
Week of February 11, 2008
Poll Question: What will President Bush's approval rating be on Election Day?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| below 30% | 32% | 291 |
| 30-35% | 37% | 335 |
| 35-40% | 17% | 157 |
| 40-45% | 10% | 87 |
| 45-50% | 2% | 16 |
| over 50% | 3% | 23 |
 |  |  |
| 909 votes total |
|
Week of February 4, 2008
Poll Question: Do you wish the New England Patriots had won the Super Bowl and completed their perfect season?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 26% | 277 |
| No | 59% | 636 |
| I don't care | 15% | 157 |
 |  |  |
| 1,070 votes total |
|
Week of January 28, 2008
Poll Question: Culturally speaking, is America ready to elect a woman or an African-American as president?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, America is ready to elect either. | 70% | 828 |
| America is not ready to elect a woman but is ready to elect an African-American. | 8% | 90 |
| America is not ready to elect an African-American but is ready to elect a woman. | 8% | 99 |
| No, America is not ready to elect either. | 14% | 161 |
 |  |  |
| 1,178 votes total |
|
Week of January 21, 2008
Poll Question: Will the Democratic and Republican parties pick their nominee before the conventions?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Both parties will settle on a nominee before the conventions | 45% | 329 |
| Neither party will choose a nominee before the conventions | 9% | 70 |
| The Republicans will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Democrats will not | 8% | 57 |
| The Democrats will pick their nominee before the convention, but the Republicans will not | 38% | 281 |
 |  |  |
| 737 votes total |
|
Week of January 14, 2008
Poll Question: Who will win the Republican presidential nomination?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Mitt Romney | 16% | 177 |
| Rudy Giuliani | 7% | 78 |
| Mike Huckabee | 12% | 140 |
| John McCain | 32% | 356 |
| Fred Thompson | 33% | 370 |
 |  |  |
| 1,121 votes total |
|
Week of January 7, 2008
Poll Question: Who will win the Democratic presidential nomination?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Hillary Clinton | 34% | 355 |
| Barack Obama | 60% | 621 |
| John Edwards | 6% | 58 |
 |  |  |
| 1,034 votes total |
|
Week of December 31, 2007
Poll Question: Will the next President of the United States be a Democrat or Republican?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Democrat - I'm rooting for a Democrat | 38% | 465 |
| Republican - I'm rooting for a Republican | 37% | 448 |
| Democrat - I'm rooting for a Republican | 12% | 146 |
| Republican - I'm rooting for a Democrat | 4% | 44 |
| Democrat - I'm rooting for neither | 6% | 73 |
| Republican - I'm rooting for neither | 2% | 25 |
| Neither the Democrat nor Republican nominee will win the election | 1% | 12 |
 |  |  |
| 1,213 votes total |
|
Week of December 24, 2007
Poll Question: Was Jesus born of a virgin?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, the Holy Spirit caused Mary to conceived | 51% | 293 |
| No, it is a myth | 49% | 281 |
 |  |  |
| 574 votes total |
|
Week of December 17, 2007
Poll Question: Ron Paul has raised over $17 million so far this quarter. How will Paul's huge cash reserves impact the GOP primary races?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| He will win the nomination | 53% | 450 |
| He will do well, but will be more of a spoiler for someone else | 20% | 167 |
| He's going nowhere - all those millions are just wasted money | 28% | 237 |
 |  |  |
| 854 votes total |
|
Week of December 10, 2007
Poll Question: Will the New England Patriots finish the 2007 season undefeated?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, and I'll be glad to see it | 36% | 133 |
| Yes, but I don't want them to | 29% | 108 |
| No, and I don't want them to | 30% | 110 |
| No, but I hope they do | 4% | 16 |
 |  |  |
| 367 votes total |
|
Week of December 3, 2007
Poll Question: Should Americans avoid using the term "Christmas" during the holiday season except in their own private circles?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, some people are offended by it and we should be sensitive to that. | 23% | 103 |
| No, it is fine to use - some folks are just too easily offended. | 77% | 351 |
 |  |  |
| 454 votes total |
|
Week of November 12, 2007
Poll Question: Who will win the GOP nomination for president?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Fred Thompson | 8% | 64 |
| John McCain | 6% | 47 |
| Mike Huckabee | 16% | 134 |
| Mitt Romney | 27% | 223 |
| Ron Paul | 11% | 89 |
| Rudy Giuliani | 31% | 258 |
| Someone else | 2% | 16 |
 |  |  |
| 831 votes total |
|
Week of November 5, 2007
Poll Question: Will the United States carry out a military strike against Iran before the 2008 elections?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, to influence the elections | 29% | 127 |
| Yes, to combat the threat Iran represents | 19% | 82 |
| No | 52% | 228 |
 |  |  |
| 437 votes total |
|
Week of October 29, 2007
Poll Question: Where will Mike Huckabee finish in the Iowa Caucuses?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| First or second | 23% | 100 |
| Second or third | 38% | 163 |
| Third or fourth | 30% | 129 |
| Fourth or fifth | 7% | 29 |
| Worse than fifth | 2% | 10 |
 |  |  |
| 431 votes total |
|
Week of October 22, 2007
Poll Question: Does Bobby Jindal's victory in the Louisiana governor's race signal a change of fortunes for the GOP in 2008?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, the worst is over - the GOP will fare just fine next year | 24% | 111 |
| No, this is just an exception - the GOP is still in deep trouble | 76% | 357 |
 |  |  |
| 468 votes total |
|
Week of October 15, 2007
Poll Question: He's not running in 2008. Do you think Al Gore will ever run for president?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 25% | 54 |
| No | 75% | 161 |
 |  |  |
| 215 votes total |
|
Poll Question: Now that Al Gore has won the Nobel Peace Prize, do you think he will run for president in 2008?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, he will run and he will be elected president | 9% | 25 |
| Yes, he will run but he won't win the nomination | 4% | 12 |
| Yes, he will get the nomination but he will lose the general election | 1% | 3 |
| No, he won't run | 86% | 244 |
 |  |  |
| 173 votes total |
|
Week of October 8, 2007
Poll Question: Did you subscribe to Election Projection Premium Content in 2006?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, and I plan to subscribe again in 2008 | 37% | 64 |
| Yes, but I probably won't subscribe again in 2008 | 4% | 7 |
| No, but I'm looking forward to subscribing in 2008 | 12% | 21 |
| No, and I don't think I will in 2008 | 47% | 81 |
 |  |  |
| 173 votes total |
|
Week of October 1, 2007
Poll Question: Should Iraq be split into three territories to help promote stability in the region?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes, one Iraq will always produce civil strife and violence. | 46% | 121 |
| No, in the long run, Iraqis want their country to be whole. They will achieve stability as one nation eventually. | 18% | 47 |
| It doesn't matter. The violence and fighting will continue without end regardless of what the map looks like. | 26% | 69 |
| It doens't matter. Eventually peace will come to Iraq - one nation or three. | 10% | 25 |
 |  |  |
| 262 votes total |
|
Week of September 24, 2007
Poll Question: Which of the following is closest to your views on Affirmative Action?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| It should never have been enacted | 24% | 86 |
| It was useful for a time, but should be phased out now | 34% | 119 |
| Someday it should be phased out, but not any time soon | 37% | 131 |
| It should be our national policy forever | 5% | 17 |
 |  |  |
| 353 votes total |
|
Week of September 17, 2007
Poll Question: Assuming Hillary wins the Democratic nomination, which of the GOP contenders has the best chance against her in the general election?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Rudy Giuliani | 49% | 234 |
| Mitt Romney | 6% | 27 |
| John McCain | 10% | 46 |
| Fred Thompson | 20% | 96 |
| Someone else | 16% | 79 |
 |  |  |
| 482 votes total |
|
Week of September 10, 2007
Poll Question: This week marks the sixth anniversary of the 9/11/2001 terrorist attacks on America. How long will it be before they attack us again?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Within 6 months | 11% | 27 |
| 6 months to 2 years | 27% | 68 |
| 2 to 5 years | 32% | 80 |
| More than 5 years | 17% | 43 |
| We won't be attacked again. | 13% | 34 |
 |  |  |
| 252 votes total |
|
Week of August 13, 2007
Poll Question: Karl Rove is leaving the Bush administration at the end of the month. Will you be glad to see him go?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 60% | 393 |
| No | 22% | 144 |
| I don't care | 18% | 117 |
 |  |  |
| 654 votes total |
|
Week of July 2, 2007
Poll Question: How would you complete the following phrase? "All things considered, the United States is..."
| | Selection | | Votes |
| ... the greatest country on earth | 53% | 435 |
| ... well above average | 21% | 172 |
| ... above average | 12% | 97 |
| ... about average | 5% | 40 |
| ... below average | 6% | 46 |
| ... well below average | 2% | 16 |
| ... the worst country ever | 1% | 9 |
 |  |  |
| 815 votes total |
|
Week of June 25, 2007
Poll Question: If the 2004 elections were held again, who would you vote for now?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| I voted for Bush and I'd do it again. | 37% | 256 |
| I voted for Bush, but I'd vote for Kerry now. | 4% | 31 |
| I voted for Bush, but I'd vote for a third party or sit out the election now. | 8% | 59 |
| I voted for Kerry and I'd do it again. | 44% | 309 |
| I voted for Kerry, but I'd vote for Bush now. | 1% | 5 |
| I voted for Kerry, but I'd vote for a third party or sit out the election now. | 1% | 7 |
| I voted third party or sat out the election, but I'd vote for Bush now. | 0% | 1 |
| I voted third party or sat out the election, but I'd vote for Kerry now. | 2% | 12 |
| I voted third party or sat out the election and I'd do it again. | 3% | 20 |
 |  |  |
| 700 votes total |
|
Week of June 11, 2007
Poll Question: What ideological label most closely describes you?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Politically Conservative Christian | 32% | 295 |
| Politically Conservative Non-Christian | 5% | 50 |
| Politically Libertarian Christian | 7% | 63 |
| Politically Libertarian Non-Christian | 5% | 44 |
| Politically Moderate Christian | 9% | 81 |
| Politically Moderate Non-Christian | 8% | 76 |
| Politically Liberal Christian | 14% | 126 |
| Politically Liberal Non-Christian | 18% | 169 |
| None of the above | 2% | 19 |
 |  |  |
| 923 votes total |
|
Week of June 4, 2007
Poll Question: Who won the June 3rd Democratic presidential debate?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Joe Biden | 13% | 33 |
| Hillary Clinton | 32% | 83 |
| Chris Dodd | 0% | 0 |
| John Edwards | 19% | 51 |
| Mike Gravel | 5% | 12 |
| Dennis Kucinich | 4% | 10 |
| Barak Obama | 21% | 56 |
| Bill Richardson | 6% | 17 |
 |  |  |
| 262 votes total |
|
Week of May 21, 2007
Poll Question: Do you consider illegal immigrants currently residing in the US to be criminals?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 59% | 390 |
| No | 41% | 275 |
 |  |  |
| 665 votes total |
|
Week of May 14, 2007
Poll Question: What do you think is the overall bias of the Fox News Network?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Very liberally biased | 2% | 7 |
| Slightly liberally biased | 3% | 12 |
| Not biased | 17% | 78 |
| Slightly conservatively biased | 24% | 110 |
| Very conservatively biased | 55% | 258 |
 |  |  |
| 465 votes total |
|
Week of May 7, 2007
Poll Question: If the mainstream media includes ABC News, CBS News, NBC News, CNN The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The LA Times, in your view, is it...
| | Selection | | Votes |
| ...very liberally biased? | 37% | 179 |
| ...somewhat liberally biased? | 13% | 61 |
| ...mostly balanced (no bias)? | 24% | 117 |
| ...somewhat conservatively biased? | 19% | 89 |
| ...very conservatively biased? | 7% | 33 |
 |  |  |
| 479 votes total |
|
Week of April 30, 2007
Poll Question: Would you favor a law that makes it a crime to publicly state that homosexual activity is morally wrong?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 20% | 71 |
| No | 80% | 289 |
 |  |  |
| 360 votes total |
|
Week of April 23, 2007
Poll Question: Which of the following most closely reflects your thoughts on gun control laws?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| They are about right | 23% | 112 |
| They should be made more restrictive | 45% | 220 |
| They are already too restrictive | 32% | 158 |
 |  |  |
| 490 votes total |
|
Week of April 16, 2007
Poll Question: Fred Thompson is mulling a run for president. If he runs, how do you think he'll do?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| He will win the GOP nomination, but not the presidency | 13% | 49 |
| He will win the GOP nomination and be the next President of the U.S. | 45% | 177 |
| He will not win the GOP nomination | 42% | 165 |
 |  |  |
| 391 votes total |
|
Week of April 9, 2007
Poll Question: Would you support an immigration bill that allowed illegal aliens to become American citizens?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 62% | 160 |
| No | 38% | 99 |
 |  |  |
| 259 votes total |
|
Week of April 2, 2007
Poll Question: Concerning the origin of human life, which of the following is closest to your belief?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| God created humans in our current form | 24% | 120 |
| God created humans through an evolutionary process | 37% | 188 |
| Humans evolved without the aid of a "higher power" | 39% | 199 |
 |  |  |
| 507 votes total |
|
Week of March 19, 2007
Poll Question: Should the US Congress end funding of the Iraq War before the end of 2008?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Yes | 56% | 272 |
| No | 44% | 218 |
 |  |  |
| 490 votes total |
|
Week of March 12, 2007
Poll Question: Who will win the 2008 GOP presidential nomination?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Sam Brownback | 4% | 21 |
| Jim Gilmore | 0% | 1 |
| Newt Gingrich | 7% | 33 |
| Rudy Giuliani | 37% | 178 |
| Chuck Hagel | 3% | 16 |
| Mike Huckabee | 4% | 20 |
| Duncan Hunter | 2% | 10 |
| John McCain | 16% | 75 |
| George Pataki | 0% | 2 |
| Mitt Romney | 14% | 69 |
| Tom Tancredo | 0% | 1 |
| Someone else | 12% | 57 |
 |  |  |
| 483 votes total |
|
Week of February 19, 2007
Poll Question: Will addtional troops improve the situation in Iraq?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| No, we need to send even more | 8% | 51 |
| No, we could send ten times more, and it still wouldn't help | 56% | 346 |
| Yes, but only slightly | 18% | 109 |
| Yes, now we can get the job done | 16% | 100 |
| The situation would have improved without more troops | 2% | 11 |
 |  |  |
| 617 votes total |
|
Week of February 12, 2007
Poll Question: Global warming...
| | Selection | | Votes |
Is caused by human activity and is a critical threat to the earth's future | 46% | 192 |
Is caused by human activity and is a possible threat to the earth's future | 18% | 73 |
Is caused by human activity but is no real threat to the earth's future | 2% | 10 |
Is the result of natural cyclical temperature variations with little or no human impact | 29% | 119 |
| Is just a bunch of hype that doesn't even exist | 5% | 22 |
 |  |  |
| 416 votes total |
|
Week of February 5, 2007
Poll Question: Which party will hold the majorities in Congress after the 2008 elections?
| | Selection | | Votes |
| Republicans in the House, Democrats in the Senate | 3% | 16 |
| Republicans in the Senate, Democrats in the House | 16% | 81 |
| Democrats in both the House and Senate | 67% | 343 |
| Republicans in both the House and Senate | 11% | 58 |
| I can't decide | 3 | |
|