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Latest Polls and Updates
Conservative Ranking
Arizona is the 22nd most conservative state, voting
8.0% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Arizona's partisan trend is
STEADY
.
GOP Trend Ranking
Arizona ranks 22nd among the 50 states.
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Race for the White House
GOP Candidates
John McCain - U. S. Senator from Arizona 
Mike Huckabee - Former Governor of Arkansas
Ron Paul - U. S. Congressman from Texas (CD-14)
Mitt Romney - Former Governor of Massachusetts
Rudy Giuliani - Former Mayor of New York City
Fred Thompson - Former U. S. Senator from Tennessee
Duncan Hunter - U. S. Congressman from California (CD-52)
DEM Candidates
Barack Obama - U. S. Senator from Illinois
Hillary Clinton - U. S. Senator from New York
Mike Gravel - Former U. S. Senator from Alaska
John Edwards - Former U. S. Senator from North Carolina
Bill Richardson - Governor of New Mexico
Dennis Kucinich - U. S. Congressman from Ohio (CD-10)
Party nominee -
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District 1
OPEN SEAT: GOP incumbent Rick Renzi is retiring at the end of his 3rd term. He is not seeking re-election in 2008.
GOP Candidates
Tom O'Hallaran - Arizona State Senator
Sydney Ann Hay
Lewis Tenney
DEM Candidates
Ann Kirkpatrick - Former Arizona State Representative
Howard Shanker - Attorney
Mary Kim Titla - Former Television Reporter
Jeffrey Brown - Community Activist
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Gain
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District 5
Incumbent: Democrat Harold Mitchell is running for re-election for the first time in 2008. He faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Mark Anderson - Arizona State Representative
Susan Bitter Smith - Former Scottsdale City Council Member
Laura Knaperek - Former Arizona State Senator
Jim Ogsbury - Lobbyist
David Schweikert
Lee Gentry
DEM Candidates
Harold Mitchell - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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District 8
Incumbent: Democrat Gabrielle Giffords is also running for re-election for the first time in 2008. She faces no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Timothy Bee - Arizona State Senator
DEM Candidates
Gabrielle Giffords - Incumbent
Polling Data - polls to be tracked after party primaries
Projection Data - table to be filled out after party primaries
Preliminary Projection - Weak DEM Hold
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Projected winner listed first
District 2: Trent Franks (R)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 3: John Shadegg (R)-inc vs. Bob Lord (D)
District 4: Ed Pastor (D)-inc (currently unopposed)
District 6: Jeffrey Flake? (R)-inc vs. Richard Grayson (D)
District 7: Raul Grijalva (D)-inc vs. Gene Chewning (R)
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Election Timeline
February 5, 2008 - Presidential primary
June 4, 2008 - Deadline to file for candidacy
September 9, 2008 - Primary elections
November 4, 2008 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
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National Delegation
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Senators
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2 GOP
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Representatives
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4 GOP, 4 DEM
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State Government
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Governor
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DEM
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Lt. Governor
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GOP
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State Senate - GOP control
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17 GOP, 13 DEM
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State House - GOP control
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33 GOP, 27 DEM
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Current Office Holders
Governor: Janet Napolitano (D) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Lt. Governor: Jan Brewer (R) - 2nd term, term-limited in 2010
Senior Senator: John McCain (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2010
Junior Senator: Jon Kyl (R) - 3rd term, up for re-election in 2012
House District 1: Rick Renzi (R) - 3rd term, retiring
House District 2: Trent Franks (R) - 3rd term
House District 3: John Shadegg (R) - 7th term
House District 4: Ed Pastor (D) - 9th term
House District 5: Harold Mitchell (D) - 1st term
House District 6: Jeffrey Flake (R) - 4th term
House District 7: Raul Grijalva (D) - 2nd term
House District 8: Gabrielle Giffords (D) - 1st term
Historical Partisan Snapshot
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| Race |
2000 Result |
2002 Result |
2004 Result |
2006 Result |
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| President |
Mod GOP |
-- |
Strong GOP |
-- |
Senate |
| Class 1 |
Solid GOP |
-- |
-- |
Mod GOP |
| Class 3 |
-- |
-- |
Solid GOP |
-- |
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| Governor |
-- |
Weak DEM |
-- |
Solid DEM |
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| House |
4 GOP - 2 DEM |
6 GOP - 2 DEM |
6 GOP - 2 DEM |
4 GOP - 4 DEM |
| CD-1 |
Mod GOP |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod GOP |
| CD-2 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-3 |
Solid GOP |
Weak GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-4 |
Solid GOP |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-5 |
Solid DEM |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Weak DEM |
| CD-6 |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
| CD-7 |
NA |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
Solid DEM |
| CD-8 |
NA |
Solid GOP |
Solid GOP |
Mod DEM |
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| BOLD - party turnover
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Race ratings:
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"Weak" - less than 5%
"Mod" - 5% to less than 10%
"Strong" - 10% to 15%
"Solid" - greater than 15%
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