Alaska
Latest News and Updates
Gov: Rasmussen: Palin 45%, Knowles 44% - 10/30/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Murkowski -63 (up 5) - 10/23/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Palin 47%, Knowles 40% - 10/17/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Murkowski -68 (down 11) - 09/25/06
Gov: Rasmussen: Palin 52%, Knowles 38% - 09/08/06
Gov: Dittman Research: Palin 46%, Knowles 29%, Halcro 3% - 09/07/06
Gov: SurveyUSA approval: Murkowski -57 (down 2) - 08/27/06
Gov: RATING CHANGE: Mod DEM Gain to Mod GOP Hold - 08/24/06
Tracking initiated and primary winners posted - 08/24/06
Conservative Ranking
Alaska is the 8th most conservative state, voting
23.1% more Republican in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, Alaska's partisan trend is STEADY.
GOP Trend Ranking
Alaska ranks 23rd among the 50 states.
Senate Race
No race in 2006
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Frank Murkowski was up for a second term in 2006 after 22 years in the Senate.
He lost in the primary.
GOP Candidates
Frank Murkowski - Incumbent
Sarah Palin - Chair, Alaska Oil and Gas Commission 
John Binkley - Former Alaska State Senator
Gerald Heikes
Merica Hlatcu
Brad Snowden
Democrat Candidates
Tony Knowles - Former Governor of Alaska
Eric Croft - Alaska State Representative
Bruce Lemke
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Sarah Palin +0.03
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Palin |
Knowles |
| Rasmussen |
10/30 |
45% |
44% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
1.0 |
90% |
0.9 |
| Incumbent approval |
-63 |
5% |
-3.2 |
| State partisanship |
25.6 |
5% |
1.3 |
| Other issues |
Adjustment: |
1.0 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| October 30, 2006 |
Palin +0.03 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Palin +5.4 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| October 17, 2006 |
Palin +5.2 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Palin +12.8 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| September 8, 2006 |
Palin +13.4 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| September 7, 2006 |
Palin +12.9 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Palin +11.1 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| August 24, 2006 |
Palin +11.2 |
Mod GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Mod DEM Gain |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Don Young (R)-inc vs. Diane Benson (D)
Election Timeline
June 1, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
August 22, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 GOP |
| Representatives |
1 GOP |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
12 GOP, 8 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
26 GOP, 14 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Frank Murkowski (R) - 1st term, lost in 2006 primary
Lt. Governor: Loren Leman (R) - 1st term, not seeking re-election in 2006
Senior Senator: Theodore Stevens (R) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: Lisa Murkowski (R) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Don Young (R) - 17th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Arizona
Previous Stop: Alabama
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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