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South Dakota
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Gov: Approval: Rounds +31 (down 3) - 10/23/06
Gov: Approval: Rounds +34 (up 7) - 09/25/06
Gov: Approval: Rounds +27 (down 7) - 08/27/06
Gov: Approval: Rounds +34 (up 8) - 07/23/06
Tracking initiated - 07/15/06
Conservative Ranking
South Dakota is the 11th most conservative state, voting 19.0% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, South Dakota is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
South Dakota ranks 18th among the 50 states.
Senate Race
No race in 2006
Governor's Race
Incumbent: GOP incumbent Mike Rounds is up for re-election for the first time in 2006. He faced no primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Mike Rounds - Incumbent 
Democrat Candidates
Jack Billion - Former South Dakota State Reprsentative
Dennis Wiese - Farmers Union President
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Mike Rounds +33.7
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Rounds |
Billion |
| SurveyUSA |
05/18 |
65% |
30% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
35.0 |
80% |
28.0 |
| Incumbent approval |
31 |
15% |
4.7 |
| State partisanship |
21.5 |
5% |
1.1 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Rounds +33.7 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| October 23, 2006 |
Rounds +33.7 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| September 25, 2006 |
Rounds +34.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| August 27, 2006 |
Rounds +33.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 23, 2006 |
Rounds +34.2 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| July 15, 2006 |
Rounds +33.0 |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong GOP Hold |
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Stephanie Herseth (D)-inc vs. Bruce Whalen (R)
Election Timeline
April 6, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
June 6, 2006 - Primary elections
June 14, 2006 - Primary runoff elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
1 GOP, 1 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
GOP |
| Lt. Governor - tied to Governor |
GOP |
| State Senate - GOP control |
25 GOP, 10 DEM |
| State House - GOP control |
51 GOP, 19 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Mike Rounds (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2006
Lt. Governor: Dennis Daugaard (R) - 1st term, tied to Governor
Senior Senator: Tim Johnson (D) - 2nd term, up for re-election in 2008
Junior Senator: John Thune (R) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2010
House District 1: Stephanie Herseth (D) - 2nd term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Tennessee
Previous Stop: South Carolina
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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