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West Virginia
Latest News and Updates
Final projections posted - see each race for late polls and rating changes
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Byrd +31 (up 4) - 10/27/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Byrd +27 (down 6) - 10/07/06
Sen: Rasmussen: Bryd 63%, Raese 30% - 09/12/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Byrd +33 (up 2) - 08/18/06
Sen: Rasmussen: Bryd 56%, Raese 31% - 08/07/06
Sen: SurveyUSA approval: Byrd +31 (down 6) - 07/26/06
Tracking initiated - 07/15/06
Conservative Ranking
West Virginia is the 20th most conservative state, voting 10.4% more Republican
in the 2004 presidential elections than the national average.
Partisan Trend
Based on voting patterns since 1992, West Virginia is trending REPUBLICAN.
GOP Trend Ranking
West Virginia ranks 2nd among the 50 states.
Senate Race
Incumbent: Democrat Robert Byrd is seeking a ninth term in 2006. He faced only token primary opposition.
GOP Candidates
Paul Brown
Zane Lawhorn - Optometrist
Hiram "Bucky" Lewis, IV - Former Senate Candidate
Charles "Bud" Railey
John Raese - Businessman 
Rick Snuffer - Former Congressional Candidate
Democrat Candidates
Robert Byrd - Incumbent
Party nominee -
Election Projection: Robert Byrd +30.4
Polling Data
| Polling Firm |
Date |
Raese |
Byrd |
| Rasmussen |
09/12 |
30% |
63% |
Projection Data - positive numbers favor the incumbent party
| Index |
Raw value |
Weight |
Factor |
| Head-to head polls |
33.0 |
80% |
26.4 |
| Incumbent approval |
31 |
15% |
4.7 |
| State partisanship |
-12.9 |
5% |
-0.6 |
Projection History
| Date |
Projection |
Rating |
| Final Projection |
Byrd +30.4 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 27, 2006 |
Byrd +30.4 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| October 7, 2006 |
Byrd +29.8 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| September 12, 2006 |
Byrd +30.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 18, 2006 |
Byrd +25.9 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| August 7, 2006 |
Byrd +25.6 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| July 31, 2006 |
Byrd +24.9 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| July 10, 2006 |
Byrd +25.7 |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Preliminary |
----- |
Strong DEM Hold |
Governor's Race
No race in 2006
Competitive House Races
No competitive races in 2006
Other House Races
Projected winner listed first
District 1: Alan Mollohan (D)-inc vs. Chris Wakim (R)
District 2: Shelley Capito (R)-inc vs. Mike Callaghan (D)
District 3: Nick Joe Rahall, II (D)-inc vs. Kim Wolfe (R)
Election Timeline
January 28, 2006 - Deadline to file for candidacy
May 9, 2006 - Primary elections
November 7, 2006 - Election day
Current Partisan Breakdown
| National Delegation |
| Senators |
2 DEM |
| Representatives |
1 GOP, 2 DEM |
| State Government |
| Governor |
DEM |
| State Senate - DEM control |
14 GOP, 20 DEM |
| State House - DEM control |
33 GOP, 67 DEM |
Current Office Holders
Governor: Joe Manchin, II (D) - 1st term, up for re-election in 2008
Senior Senator: Robert Byrd (D) - 8th term, up for re-election in 2006
Junior Senator: Jay Rockefeller, IV (D) - 4th term, up for re-election in 2008
House District 1: Alan Mollohan (D) - 12th term
House District 2: Shelley Capito (R) - 3rd term
House District 3: Nick Joe Rahall, II (D) - 15th term
Tour The 50 States
Next Stop: Wisconsin
Previous Stop: Washington
Special Thanks to...
Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Dave Leip
Congressional Quarterly
The Cook Political Report - Charlie Cook
The Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato
DC's Political Report - D.C. Finegold Sachs
RealClearPolitics - Tom Bevan and John McIntyre
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